Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.205566 0.233974 0.264453 0.299537 0.338755 0.381191 0.430532
2025-11-09 0.163560 0.200742 0.243326 0.295525 0.357592 0.428830 0.516575
2025-11-16 0.135105 0.176995 0.227735 0.293335 0.375473 0.474455 0.602253
2025-11-23 0.114017 0.158348 0.214787 0.291255 0.391401 0.517249 0.686391
2025-11-30 0.100852 0.147546 0.209672 0.297377 0.416811 0.572411 0.788835
2025-12-07 0.088248 0.135549 0.201119 0.297263 0.432947 0.615600 0.877617
2025-12-14 0.077978 0.125345 0.193557 0.297129 0.448143 0.657558 0.966444
2025-12-21 0.069628 0.116811 0.187220 0.297651 0.463579 0.700012 1.057695
2025-12-28 0.063585 0.110995 0.184114 0.302262 0.484719 0.751191 1.163634
2026-01-04 0.059032 0.106952 0.183163 0.309747 0.510230 0.809705 1.282974
2026-01-11 0.054020 0.101527 0.179394 0.312256 0.527896 0.857099 1.387852
2026-01-18 0.050257 0.097775 0.177891 0.318064 0.550793 0.913286 1.508542
2026-01-25 0.047198 0.095078 0.178127 0.327117 0.580123 0.982094 1.654218
2026-02-01 0.042685 0.089210 0.172356 0.325479 0.591674 1.023379 1.758803
2026-02-08 0.038785 0.084026 0.167260 0.324478 0.604024 1.066382 1.868142
2026-02-15 0.035245 0.079111 0.162145 0.322910 0.615087 1.107598 1.976370
2026-02-22 0.033191 0.076926 0.161865 0.329999 0.641590 1.175756 2.132367
2026-03-01 0.030491 0.073076 0.158020 0.330065 0.655383 1.222818 2.254854
2026-03-08 0.028051 0.069482 0.154313 0.330016 0.668797 1.269680 2.378957
2026-03-15 0.025919 0.066302 0.151121 0.330641 0.683352 1.319066 2.509496
2026-03-22 0.024410 0.064349 0.150247 0.335735 0.706547 1.384818 2.671641
2026-03-29 0.023301 0.063195 0.150930 0.343975 0.736188 1.463506 2.860189
2026-04-05 0.021810 0.060947 0.149049 0.346739 0.755201 1.523487 3.017412